A Study of Age-Related Thoracic Injury in Frontal Crashes using Analytic Morphomics 2018-01-0549

The purpose of this study was to use detailed medical information to evaluate thoracic injuries in elderly patients in real world frontal crashes. In this study, we used analytic morphomics to predict the effect of torso geometry on rib fracture, a major source of injury for the elderly. Analytic morphomics extracts body features from computed tomography (CT) scans of patients in a semi-automated fashion. Thoracic injuries were examined in front row occupants involved in frontal crashes from the International Center for Automotive Medicine (ICAM) database. Among these occupants, two age groups (age < 60 yr. [Nonelderly] and age ≥ 60 yr. [Elderly]) who suffered severe thoracic injury were analyzed. Regression analyses were conducted to investigate injury outcomes using variables for vehicle, demographics, and morphomics. Compared to the nonelderly group, the elderly group sustained more rib fractures. Logistic regression models were fitted with different configurations of variables predictive of the Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale of the thoracic region (MAISthx 3+). The performance of models was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). AUC is a widely-used “rating” method to describe the accuracy of prediction models. It represents the probability that a randomly chosen positive subject with higher predicted risk than a randomly chosen negative subject. An area of 1 represents a perfect model; an area of 0.5 represents a worthless model. The model developed based solely on vehicle data had an AUC of 0.58. When demographic data was combined with vehicle data, the model prediction improved to an AUC of 0.66. The AUC associated with vehicle and morphomics data increased to 0.72 and increased again to 0.79 when combining vehicle, demographic, and morphomics variables. The important morphomics variables were the rib’s in-plane shape, rib angle, and spine-to-back skin, which represents fat thickness in the posterior trunk. Morphomics variables such as skeletal geometry and fat distribution can be precisely adjusted in a finite element human body model or anthropomorphic testing device to represent occupants of different body shapes and sizes and are thus more valuable in assessing injury during vehicle crashes.